Valar Morghulis: Who’s most likely to die in the Game of Thrones series finale?

Image: Game of Thrones/HBO
Image: Game of Thrones/HBO /
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Valar morghulis: All men (and women) must die. But when?

Welcome to Valar Morghulis, a weekly column about death and destruction in the wide world of Westeros. Each week, we’ll try to predict how likely EVERY character on Game of Thrones is to breathe their last in the upcoming episode. We’ll also review what we got right, as well as what we got horribly wrong, last time.

The last ever episode of Game of Thrones is upon us. This is our last jaunt with characters we’ve come to love and hate, sometimes in the span of a single episode (looking at you, Daenerys). Before we get to the odds for the 25 remaining characters alive on the series, let’s take a look at the massive body count from last week’s episode, “The Bells.”

Euron Greyjoy: 75%. After murdering Rhaegal last week, along with being responsible for Missandei’s death, Euron has to go down, right? Being on the front lines during the battle for King’s Landing hardly sounds safe with Daenerys gunning for you.

Well it wasn’t Dany who took out Euron, but rather Jaime Lannister, who notched another king on his belt. Of course, Jaime didn’t survive long to enjoy that small victory.

Varys: 75%. Daenerys promised to burn Varys alive if he ever betrayed her, which is exactly what it looks like the Spider is planning to do. It’s only a matter of time now.

Well, that didn’t take long. Varys lasted a whole five minutes into the episode, and went out exactly as Dany had promised. And yet, the eunuch might live on in some small way.

The Mountain: 70%. It’s finally here people: Cleganebowl. The Hound is headed for King’s Landing, where his brother the Mountain awaits him. With Grey Worm also looking for vengeance now, the Mountain could come tumbling down.

Well, we didn’t expect the Mountain to literally come tumbling down like he did when the Hound shoved him through a wall and into the burning courtyard below, but damn if that fight wasn’t fun.

The Hound: 70%. Cleganebowl isn’t likely to leave any winners, only losers. The Hound might walk away from the fight, but not very far. Does Arya remember where the heart is? This time, we think so.

We hated to be right on this one, but there was no way the Hound was walking away from his showdown with the Mountain. At least Arya didn’t have to finish him off.

Harry Strickland: 65%. The Golden Company looks formidable, but so are the forces heading for King’s Landing. Strickland is gonna wish he brought those elephants.

Formidable, eh? The Golden Company ended up being as formidable Ser Dontos. Poor Harry Strickland.

Qyburn: 65%. Surely if the city is taken by our heroes, Cersei’s monster maker won’t survive? Likewise Varys might reclaim his “little birds,” ending Qyburn’s life before the battle even begins.

Qyburn did not, in fact, survive, but it was one of his own creations that killed him. Who saw that coming?

Jaime Lannister: 60%. The Lannisters are a bit of a wild card, but the twins dying wrapped in each other’s arms (murderously or lovingly) has been hinted at on more than one occasion. This could be the episode we see it go down. 

It turned out that the Lannister twins left this world in a loving embrace, crushed by the Red Keep. We still don’t know how we feel about that.

Cersei Lannister: 60%. Our guess is that the twins exit the show the same episode, so for now their odds stay the same.

Cersei and Jaime did go out together. We’ll miss her. She’s the villain we love to hate.

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Our final edition of Valar Morghulis might be the hardest to predict. One way or another, plots will come to a head this Sunday, and that could leave a bloody mark on our final 25. Let’s dive in!

****Percentages refer to how likely the character is to die, not survive.****